Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c08b022fcabf38370a0759e4d69f9c5064bf36730a1df941113eb422c46e14

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,028,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $597,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,028,751 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 638 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	41,317$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.03	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	9c	35,233$3,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,107.4	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	5c	28,924$1,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,402.78	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	28c	13,136$3,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,633.7	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	12,951$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,952.58	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	5c	11,073$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.98	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes	4c	9,835$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.72	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	21c	9,614$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.83	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	3c	9,505$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	25c	8,813$2,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,245.11	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes	2c	8,755$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.95	124	29%36 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+110.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	7,949$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.41	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	11c	7,949$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.34	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	6c	7,674$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.68	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	7,431$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.19	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	7,240$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.2	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	1c	7,010$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	7c	6,660$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.79	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	14c	6,631$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.61	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	8c	6,200$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	77c	6,126$4,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,392.68	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	21c	5,848$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.1	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…d79bbacked Yes	9c	5,380$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.6	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	5,324$3,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,461.22	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	19c	5,093$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.55	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	2c	5,045$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.05	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	21c	4,916$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.37	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	9c	4,913$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.06	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked No	74c	4,628$3,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.8	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	4,568$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.01	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	4,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	28c	4,466$1,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,238.72	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	3c	4,461$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.65	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	20c	4,406$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.64	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	9c	4,365$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.45	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	4,251$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd03…60fbbacked Yes	22c	3,967$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.64	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	6c	3,957$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.95	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	27c	3,910$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068.83	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	19c	3,886$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.41	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes	10c	3,637$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.67	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes	26c	3,381$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.12	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	21c	3,372$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.15	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	3,291$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.2	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes	19c	3,217$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.28	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	15c	3,130$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.5	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	33c	3,018$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.57	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Yes	27c	3,002$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.67	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	7c	3,000$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	17c	2,981$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.18	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…3559backed Yes	3c	2,905$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.32	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	17c	2,830$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.29	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…cff9backed Yes	26c	2,827$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.97	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c45…4503backed Yes	25c	2,802$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.09	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	23cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a9…924ebacked No	71c	2,727$1,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.66	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	1c	2,645$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.37	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	2,639$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.84	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	76c	2,574$1,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.66	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	17c	2,500$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	16c	2,494$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.64	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	5c	2,433$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.54	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20c1…4017backed Yes	9c	2,417$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.12	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	17c	2,336$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.42	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	16c	2,293$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.6	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	2,284$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.81	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	32c	2,224$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.28	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b2a…70d2backed Yes	25c	2,209$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.65	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	10c	2,192$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.6	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	28c	2,000$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.49	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347e…4d06backed Yes	11c	1,998$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.13	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	29c	1,973$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.71	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	24c	1,956$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.76	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	18c	1,950$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b4…3cf1backed Yes	1c	1,900$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes	18c	1,857$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.4	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	2c	1,786$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.9	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	28c	1,772$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.29	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac28…0d06backed Yes	2c	1,742$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.39	93	7.5%7 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	20c	1,697$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.93	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8c…dbefbacked Yes	14c	1,637$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.07	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	70c	1,611$1,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.4	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	19c	1,594$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.74	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	17c	1,565$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.1	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	21c	1,542$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.93	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	22c	1,479$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.27	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb4…98c3backed Yes	3c	1,466$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	29c	1,456$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.84	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7e…3b66backed Yes	26c	1,447$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.5	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b98…f553backed Yes	2c	1,439$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	20c	1,418$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.89	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	16c	1,390$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.82	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No	74c	1,387$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.2	63	81%51 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	75cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	1,383$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.78	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e6…819fbacked Yes	9c	1,355$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.4	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes	9c	1,350$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.9	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	8c	1,337$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.96	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	22c	1,333$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.76	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event