Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3acfa8763526158d5af232306cd9aec99b8d5476ac0130c31411595657b4579a

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,334,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $855,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,334,593 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 542 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	10c	115,057$11,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,596.78	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	19,152$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.44	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	68c	19,081$13,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,022.27	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	16,006$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.45	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	7c	15,694$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.38	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	68c	13,199$8,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,214.04	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7601…5136backed Yes	2c	12,797$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.38	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-74%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	9c	12,015$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.87	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	24c	11,857$2,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,903.56	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	10c	11,085$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.59	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,815$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	12c	10,782$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.7	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	9,878$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.7	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	9,762$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.66	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	9,509$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.28	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	11c	9,285$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.99	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	5c	7,899$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.88	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	7,512$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.65	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	7,292$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.16	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	4c	7,216$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.62	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	12c	7,062$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.52	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	6,940$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.11	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	6c	6,911$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.69	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	15c	6,887$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.96	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	6,780$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.45	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	23c	6,718$1,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,548.74	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	8c	6,371$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.96	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	14c	6,040$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.18	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8907…d8e6backed Yes	0c	6,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	9c	5,898$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.55	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	11c	5,677$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.06	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	5,528$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.23	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes	9c	5,197$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.28	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	6c	5,195$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.29	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad57…cff9backed Yes	11c	5,155$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.39	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	5,029$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.56	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	12c	5,007$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.97	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	1c	4,854$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.94	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	16c	4,834$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.96	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	3c	4,696$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.08	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	13c	4,578$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.82	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed No	76c	4,393$3,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.3	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	4c	4,242$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.88	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	2c	4,034$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.68	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	9c	4,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	2c	3,884$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.33	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	5c	3,870$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.16	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	3,577$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.65	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	5c	3,539$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.85	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9429…c151backed Yes	38c	3,529$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.78	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes	4c	3,491$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.59	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	5c	3,402$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.87	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	6c	3,366$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.08	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	7c	3,185$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.46	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb3…56f3backed No	78c	3,173$2,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.94	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	3,110$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.31	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	6c	3,088$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.09	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	9c	3,036$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.39	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	10c	3,030$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.97	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	3c	3,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	2c	2,994$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.87	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f7a…0ec7backed Yes	7c	2,992$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	2,935$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.51	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	2c	2,931$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	3c	2,871$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.16	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	27c	2,753$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.55	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd187…c76cbacked Yes	3c	2,753$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.63	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	20c	2,716$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.76	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	2,700$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.8	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	6c	2,684$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.22	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	11c	2,661$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.49	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	5c	2,657$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.28	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	3c	2,589$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.01	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	2,542$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.49	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd5…cae2backed Yes	24c	2,528$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.36	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	19c	2,405$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.27	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	10c	2,389$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.32	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	6c	2,383$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.36	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	2,295$1,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.45	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	2c	2,280$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.14	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	2,274$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.93	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	7c	2,226$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.73	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes	3c	2,009$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.41	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	3c	2,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	3c	1,986$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.61	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cc…185cbacked Yes	4c	1,985$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.32	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	9c	1,964$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.02	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	14c	1,951$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.63	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb33e…cd0abacked Yes	24c	1,927$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.99	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	7c	1,924$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.65	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	10c	1,920$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.09	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee95…a347backed Yes	1c	1,870$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	3c	1,851$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.83	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	5c	1,823$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.17	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c1…6c28backed Yes	3c	1,819$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.25	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes	1c	1,800$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	7c	1,764$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.66	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes	2c	1,750$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	182	18.7%34 W · 148 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	1,742$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.66	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event