TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x062d…500f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1148.8%10 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$570
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.96
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.57
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.91
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.05
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.99
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.74
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+231.6%+$45.4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.06
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST3548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.6%+$10.32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+445.4%+$48.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112%+$72.88
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+243.1%+$99.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+98%+$99
Will The MongolZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$96.94
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.18
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+50%+$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.11
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+1,158.2%+$2,117.19
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+148.9%+$59.82
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37.6%+$71
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+199.3%+$159.8
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+161.7%+$86.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.59
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$14.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$119.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$24.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.67
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.6%+$49.57
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+89.9%+$28.4
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+119.8%+$32.7
All 5 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.