TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of G2, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,241,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,335,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,241,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked G261c395,065$240,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,594.9642440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked TheMongolz41c301,861$122,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,931.6311146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked TheMongolz44c249,617$110,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,423.7139249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed G256c88,121$49,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,340.7241649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed TheMongolz43c70,000$30,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,1007943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G257c48,415$27,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,728.383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed G256c45,558$25,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,084.2810551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked G257c44,186$25,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,999.982055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed G255c40,000$22,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,841.9813954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed G258c35,870$20,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,182.2911758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8fa…77b5backed TheMongolz45c28,000$12,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,639.993721.6%8 W · 29 L-9.6wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-58.2%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked G280c24,500$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9003154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed G258c23,340$13,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,802.824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed TheMongolz43c21,983$9,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,452.681250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz31c20,328$6,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,200.7572453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed TheMongolz21c18,888$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.4888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz43c16,848$7,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,244.5719757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed G257c16,304$9,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,010.5221051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed G258c16,184$9,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,797.127440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed G257c14,636$8,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,252.3945848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed G258c14,229$8,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,976.181540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G272c12,510$9,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,461.193,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed G258c11,652$6,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,905.3812441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TheMongolz42c11,000$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,64559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed G257c10,653$6,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.1315347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G257c10,550$6,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50271645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed TheMongolz20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked TheMongolz43c9,180$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,947.198852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed G258c8,594$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.8510947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed G257c8,203$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.511252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked TheMongolz27c7,687$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.7732930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed G258c7,468$4,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.3626344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed G258c7,201$4,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.5320856.3%117 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5475…c3dcbacked G258c6,949$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz36c6,261$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2771,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b4…980abacked TheMongolz43c6,040$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.321250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked G273c5,999$4,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.662,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G268c5,911$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.291,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked TheMongolz42c5,585$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.720539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed TheMongolz42c5,468$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.67856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked TheMongolz21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0503432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TheMongolz41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.9828538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed G259c4,921$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.3219549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed TheMongolz31c4,821$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.411937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked TheMongolz43c4,700$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0215644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz32c4,698$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed TheMongolz40c4,594$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.5797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed TheMongolz41c4,560$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.574330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed G257c3,862$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.4933043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed TheMongolz41c3,795$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.9522448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed TheMongolz36c3,748$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.4910749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed G257c3,402$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.7517847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed TheMongolz42c3,330$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.622342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz29c3,306$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.0447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked TheMongolz42c3,122$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked G258c3,014$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.799753.6%52 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed TheMongolz41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.0112150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz43c3,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2801,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed TheMongolz41c3,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24050833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz25c2,895$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.372,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked TheMongolz43c2,845$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.4127452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed G258c2,705$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.172250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed TheMongolz42c2,638$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.699954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked G260c2,567$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.961,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed G257c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0751,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed TheMongolz27c2,477$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.042,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked TheMongolz25c2,463$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.071,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed TheMongolz43c2,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked TheMongolz20c2,299$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.7714744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked G257c2,291$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.2323952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed G257c2,264$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.557647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed TheMongolz44c2,172$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.725756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3e…1b31backed TheMongolz46c2,096$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.34520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xef92…5fa9backed G253c2,032$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked TheMongolz42c2,005$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8481844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc68d…2fe8backed TheMongolz43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8605129.4%15 W · 36 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b36…cfdebacked TheMongolz1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked TheMongolz40c1,935$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77412038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed TheMongolz24c1,799$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.161837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed TheMongolz43c1,779$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76512545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed G258c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1468753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed TheMongolz42c1,588$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.046432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed TheMongolz27c1,500$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.887935.4%28 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed G257c1,492$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.563060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked G260c1,471$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.17,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed G262c1,460$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.431,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G267c1,366$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.331,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked TheMongolz29c1,305$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37811631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed TheMongolz33c1,295$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.6855043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz20c1,289$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8681244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked TheMongolz40c1,281$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.289147.3%43 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed TheMongolz42c1,266$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.7216250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3e…41c9backed TheMongolz7c1,200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.852528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06db…1e5cbacked TheMongolz43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed G258c1,147$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.5524233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed TheMongolz36c1,144$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.427839.7%31 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked TheMongolz43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47311241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed TheMongolz33c1,075$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8617034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed G259c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.957149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.