CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb869672574960f6f09c8f6056d3e7174b6aa00d47657759a4c890006a01d99ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 | 65c | 4,749$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.12 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 3,634$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed TheMongolz | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.8 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed G2 | 57c | 1,819$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed G2 | 57c | 1,815$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed TheMongolz | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz | 36c | 1,252$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.72 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 | 63c | 1,251$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.47 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed G2 | 63c | 1,250$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.73 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed G2 | 52c | 1,173$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.08 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 9c | 1,030$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed G2 | 71c | 1,007$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.34 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed TheMongolz | 39c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked G2 | 52c | 934.78$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.69 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…1d7dbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 902.56$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked TheMongolz | 39c | 841.03$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 | 76c | 769.5$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked TheMongolz | 14c | 543$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed TheMongolz | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed TheMongolz | 40c | 437.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed G2 | 52c | 420.31$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed G2 | 64c | 403$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked G2 | 63c | 352.53$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed TheMongolz | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed G2 | 56c | 278$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed TheMongolz | 14c | 211.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b50…77a2backed TheMongolz | 17c | 210.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked G2 | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed G2 | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked G2 | 55c | 160.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked G2 | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…5b45backed G2 | 66c | 148.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked G2 | 67c | 131.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed G2 | 74c | 119.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed TheMongolz | 45c | 111.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 382 | 59.7%228 W · 154 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed G2 | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab8…b955backed TheMongolz | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed G2 | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…dfe9backed TheMongolz | 25c | 75.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…53d5backed TheMongolz | 42c | 72.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed TheMongolz | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed TheMongolz | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bf…ebbcbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 64.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed G2 | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…61d6backed G2 | 68c | 54.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked G2 | 68c | 37.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…2c29backed G2 | 79c | 35.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed G2 | 67c | 21.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed G2 | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 | 53c | 18.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…e88fbacked G2 | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.