TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc7d…61d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.92
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.86
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+83.8%+$20.96
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.93
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.27
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.32
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.24
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.16
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.79
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.46
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.54
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92%+$24.81
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.71
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.75
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$22.3
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$11.38
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$39.95
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+73.8%+$11.06
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.01
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+98.3%+$14.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.36
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$195.87
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Australian Open Women's: Barbora Krejcikova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.41
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.26
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.87
Adelaide International: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$71.88
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$33.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$21.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.