Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c14d7425f93f6bb20fa16b404ecd29cf1d5c8d8d6c3337518d960c53e44d82d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $716,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 577 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 40c | 60,853$24,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,252.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 51,728$32,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,349.08 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 50,796$20,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,477.82 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 60c | 46,550$27,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,929.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 61c | 28,635$17,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,467.08 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 33c | 28,600$9,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,127.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 19,740$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,909.97 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 17,928$10,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,098.07 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 39c | 16,553$6,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,097.07 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed No | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 14,479$8,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,677.19 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 59c | 13,180$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,776.2 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 10,174$6,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,645.4 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 76c | 8,500$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 8,200$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed No | 61c | 8,164$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 59c | 8,019$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.02 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed No | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 0c | 7,380$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 62c | 7,308$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 40c | 6,333$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.98 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.85 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 60c | 5,997$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.13 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 5,575$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.65 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 59c | 5,500$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 63c | 5,324$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.69 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 40c | 4,545$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed No | 79c | 4,078$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.98 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 64c | 3,607$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.57 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 61c | 3,593$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 20c | 3,423$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed No | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 33c | 3,007$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Yes | 69c | 2,881$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…e266backed Yes | 40c | 2,340$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 27c | 2,123$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.53 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…3f31backed Yes | 19c | 2,071$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.28 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.47 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…e5bcbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.87 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 60c | 1,754$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.65 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 60c | 1,733$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.02 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 60c | 1,705$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.21 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 60c | 1,620$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.28 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 1,602$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.71 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…d86ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 61c | 1,256$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.63 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 47c | 1,244$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.1 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…f93cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 40c | 1,177$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.2 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,174$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 71c | 1,057$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.12 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 37c | 1,056$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 61c | 1,051$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.19 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 60c | 1,020$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 39c | 1,013$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.82 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 40c | 1,003$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.72 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 61c | 983$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.07 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 61c | 945.27$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.54 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…cb54backed No | 61c | 930$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 21c | 922.22$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.22 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…c6a5backed Yes | 73c | 911.68$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 61c | 830$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 18c | 819$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.18 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a98…9110backed Yes | 75c | 802.66$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed No | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 41c | 705.46$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 28c | 700$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?this page
- Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.