TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf2eb…562dbacked Yes30c38,100$11,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,501.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c24,720$15,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,132.6296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes31c14,330$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,442.32924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c8,900$6,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.6245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked No45c6,624$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+98.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc71…2ac1backed Yes33c6,063$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c4,838$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.462,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes30c4,628$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.527248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c4,500$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.9568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes52c3,792$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c3,266$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.7398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No59c2,500$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0207100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4252227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed No69c2,409$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes30c2,207$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.1517543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed No68c2,145$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c1,984$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.0437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa543…d86ebacked Yes32c1,600$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes29c1,583$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.019631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No77c1,582$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.932889.3%25 W · 3 L+7.5wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+50.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes31c1,516$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7114249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No67c1,500$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4907055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes30c1,492$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.589556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes40c1,492$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7742…f93cbacked No40c1,485$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No77c1,400$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c1,400$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.21,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes22c1,392$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.354744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes32c1,317$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4414142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes10c1,250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes44c1,166$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.7559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fff…423abacked Yes34c1,100$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No45c1,077$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.187750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed No66c1,061$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.611172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Yes2c1,053$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes10c973.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes31c967$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7710940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes21c960$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.443754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a62…57cabacked Yes27c933.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No69c900$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2798463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes32c839.5$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes31c816.13$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes31c799.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2482030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes17c797$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Yes33c750$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No70c719.23$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.773351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b6…896ebacked No70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.29666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes24c692.1$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0420431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae59…c97fbacked No40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No70c597.3$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.044139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Yes5c530$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.268748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes35c529.9$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.222437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No70c511.07$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0714351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes16c509.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9911529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc909…1ab1backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes35c487.55$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1693956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c464.13$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1726046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c462$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No55c436.23$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.798342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes58c430.88$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.971258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.543063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes33c407.01$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes21c400$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1247847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes16c400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No69c370$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.75563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No69c350$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10919652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb62d…0664backed No69c339.39$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…0d7fbacked No69c338.66$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedba…d44dbacked Yes32c336.74$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes30c332.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.773727%10 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd4…ad52backed Yes32c330.1$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…8edbbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Yes31c309.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No70c309$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.71968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No69c298.16$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4313040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes37c292.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10715635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed No69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.866253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No70c274.86$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6516448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Yes47c271.4$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes40c270.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.278139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes33c266.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No70c254.29$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.294264.3%27 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes40c231.06$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3215045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes46c225.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.811667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed No37c218.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.923860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed No69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20db…a0f2backed No69c204.25$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.32666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No67c202.2$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.733641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.