TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a62…57ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+229.6%+$183.71
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Open: Majchrzak vs. Busebacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.5
Sinner vs. Djokovic – Will Sinner win by 4+ games? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+92.1%+$92.09
Alcaraz vs. Fritz – Will Alcaraz win by 6+ games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mirra Andreeva win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Navarro (W)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+230.3%+$115.59
Wimbledon: Borges vs. Khachanovbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Wimbledon: Struff vs. Alcaraz backed Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Wimbledon: Fucsovics vs. Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Wimbledon: Sonego vs. Basilashvilibacked Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Wimbledon: Dimitrov vs. Moutetbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
Wimbledon: Sakkari vs. Rybakina (W) backed Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bronzetti (W) backed Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.6
Wimbledon: Giron vs. Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$106.05
Wimbledon: Lehecka vs. Belluccibacked Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+400%+$800
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Harrisbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Como 1907 vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+257.1%+$102.86
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100.5
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Parma vs. Como end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$583.33
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$266.67
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.