Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-01?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33faaf5a2879b75300ac184a67734d50595ecffac8b8e14c0b38b5c91719da48

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,883 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes	24c	6,835$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640.4	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.3wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes	6c	3,100$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	76c	3,000$2,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	687	50.8%349 W · 338 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes	21c	2,809$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.68	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	77c	2,627$2,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.67	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes	22c	2,353$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.58	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes	14c	2,217$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No	77c	1,908$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.84	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	77c	1,743$1,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.4	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes	7c	1,686$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.02	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No	77c	1,596$1,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.44	405	49.6%201 W · 204 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	22c	1,206$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.32	356	46.6%166 W · 190 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Yes	23c	1,161$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes	8c	1,089$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.81	491	37.5%184 W · 307 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No	79c	999.99$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No	79c	832.17$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	447	53.5%239 W · 208 L	+17.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	78c	714.05$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.4	527	48%253 W · 274 L	-35.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes	23c	700$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	272	26.8%73 W · 199 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No	78c	690.56$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.92	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No	78c	640$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.8	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	74cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes	24c	637.5$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes	23c	537.83$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.7	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+31%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	21c	532.33$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.79	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-55%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	8c	470$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes	7c	385.71$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes	13c	354.17$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	116	19%22 W · 94 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes	24c	350$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No	76c	330$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes	18c	325.24$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.7	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No	76c	300$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	260	46.9%122 W · 138 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	124	22.6%28 W · 96 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes	23c	278.26$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No	76c	250$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a62…57cabacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes	24c	246.58$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.18	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Yes	6c	240$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	7c	207.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	156	35.9%56 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x39ef…da28backed Yes	6c	201.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	156	23.7%37 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	267	47.2%126 W · 141 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaffc…fab4backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.42per pick	24cpaid	+124.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No	78c	187$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.14	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes	20c	148.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.63	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes	24c	141.67$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3642…aac6backed No	78c	129$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	133	66.2%88 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes	23c	123.38$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.38	99	37.4%37 W · 62 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d91…45fdbacked Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	35cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-7.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-23%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ad2…355abacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe39f…ed6ebacked Yes	11c	97.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf677…409ebacked Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa597…7e14backed No	79c	90$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No	80c	90$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes	24c	86.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.77	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes	24c	84.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	77c	69.38$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.96	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	20c	65.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes	22c	63.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	58	36.2%21 W · 37 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	321	50.2%161 W · 160 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No	80c	43.09$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.62	100	38%38 W · 62 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…f396backed No	79c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	76cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No	78c	38$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.24	233	53.6%125 W · 108 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd978…c469backed No	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	78cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No	78c	28.71$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.46	142	55.6%79 W · 63 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No	77c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No	77c	23$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No	77c	23$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No	80c	20.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.07	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	57cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.48	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No	80c	17.85$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.57	90	78.9%71 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	76cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No	77c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa44…752abacked No	77c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed No	77c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No	77c	13.09$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.97	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-01?this page
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?No won
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-01?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event