TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No78c40,036$31,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,808.294658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c22,832$5,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,087.992,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c4,602$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.3298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c3,495$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes22c3,031$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.5949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c2,870$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.2768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes33c2,682$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.1840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes31c2,269$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.3817543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes23c1,845$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.852924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No67c1,363$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.851872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No69c1,349$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.13661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes22c1,315$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2150%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes25c1,003$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1310038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c3a…e5d4backed No67c998.51$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.514100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Yes33c900$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2971050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes13c886.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.234825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No77c705.97$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8749137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No68c690.74$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.042360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…f4e2backed No69c662.32$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.326100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+72.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0c85backed No68c660.29$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.296100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf720…7251backed No68c636.76$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d1…cacfbacked No67c617.91$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3cc…8675backed No68c592.65$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.65785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5f…67b1backed No67c577.61$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes33c571$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7635646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes31c564.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes20c531.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x174d…39eebacked No67c514.93$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.93580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4988…5772backed No69c494.2$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.25100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No64c470$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.23167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc255…c3d8backed No69c404.35$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes15c394.32$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.718737.9%33 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf3…6a9dbacked No69c381.16$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.164100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e96…d509backed No69c342.03$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.035100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…9cc5backed No69c330.43$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.435100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes32c320$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.45728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No67c312.3$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.061855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes32c309.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No68c298.39$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.491040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes33c274.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2926046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes15c268.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Yes35c211.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-76%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd67…bb43backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c195$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2812929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2399…fcfcbacked No67c188.06$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes28c140.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5d…2d94backed No69c140.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.584100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes33c135.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa198…9249backed No69c123.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes33c121$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9327226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes17c117.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf9a…336bbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+60.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.515844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes15c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c87.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No66c87.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.623353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes32c66.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.059826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes38c64.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.523336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a85…4f81backed Yes32c54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.351369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1723245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…b6abbacked Yes33c39.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No73c37.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1931958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes32c35.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2732150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b4…0c4dbacked Yes32c32.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.923353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d6d…8601backed No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a39…bf2abacked No68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No69c18.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.781782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.