TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x968d…e3b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5714%8 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.9
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+2,164%+$503.13
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.54
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.28
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.83
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.12
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.29
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.47
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$357.63
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$12.79
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$34.49
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33.64
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.91
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.32
Will Charles Leclerc finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$11.67
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.88
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$28.66
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$42.11
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$173.99
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$167.21
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$136.36
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$453
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.16
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.96
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.95
Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Georgia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.92
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.62
Will Como 1907 vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+426.3%+$296.72
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$24.77
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$113.54
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.62
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$78.08
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.46
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.53
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$29.8
Will Genoa win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will AS Roma beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
Will Juventus win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$320.04
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.63
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.44
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.45
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Juventus win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40.97
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+316.7%+$146.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$119.45
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+267.7%+$43.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$98.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.