Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c24cd82781ab1922ba5cf14a3699997261e374989787461db7670d3f81ae11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 29c | 40,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 71c | 28,884$20,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,376.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 19,223$12,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,544.36 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…042ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,985$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 3,506$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.92 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.99 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 2,666$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.14 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 26c | 2,615$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.9 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 70c | 2,547$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 2,443$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.3 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 2,236$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.26 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,273$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,192$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.17 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 38c | 1,050$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.52 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Yes | 28c | 490.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 31c | 442.94$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 35c | 427.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.26 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Yes | 27c | 407.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 28c | 372.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 322.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 32c | 309.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…f846backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 59c | 286.82$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…3c52backed Yes | 73c | 274.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Yes | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 60c | 161$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 23c | 147.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…eb1bbacked Yes | 79c | 147.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 10c | 134.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 69c | 68.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 30c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…849bbacked Yes | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 30c | 43.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 77c | 42.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 33c | 35.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 70c | 29.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 46c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 71c | 26.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…3ec3backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 78c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7b…4229backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.