Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2956c2d754a8ea9d5c0622bf51a7449554c757ca2b35563ab80d578a759a5cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 4,936$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.37 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 63c | 4,666$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.14 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…042ebacked Yes | 62c | 3,135$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 2,760$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.16 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,131$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.48 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 39c | 918.37$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 859.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 67c | 354$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 40c | 290.27$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 285.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…3c52backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 24c | 207.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 49c | 197.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 28c | 178.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 166.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…d383backed Yes | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 35c | 151.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 15c | 132.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 32c | 110.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…973abacked No | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…21e9backed No | 68c | 70.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 64c | 67.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked No | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 45c | 54.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 66c | 42.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d9…1b2cbacked No | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fb…47c0backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…de06backed Yes | 34c | 36.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 54c | 35.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…6d1fbacked No | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…3ec3backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 27.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…45d2backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae80…186cbacked No | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked Yes | 78c | 17.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.