Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87dd8e75144adf5896cecd9da3ea3171dc10975f6d77c04af69085ccb439bb79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 29,888$19,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,460.95 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 13,082$7,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817.81 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 65c | 7,550$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.64 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,294$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 1,125$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.07 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 1,050$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.62 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 65c | 1,048$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.68 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…042ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 782.26$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 12c | 616.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 51c | 314.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…f846backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 41c | 118$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 33c | 112.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 34c | 112.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 30c | 100.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 37c | 94.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 67c | 84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…2c4dbacked Yes | 34c | 69.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 31c | 67.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 71c | 65.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7b…4229backed Yes | 37c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 64c | 40.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…4476backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…439dbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 60c | 23.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 65c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e49…0103backed Yes | 67c | 16.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.