TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5595…12a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Music, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+814.5%+$97.74
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.41
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Will SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Will Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Torino FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+185.7%+$98.19
Will Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Parma vs. Torino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.12
Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Albacete Balompié vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Racing Club vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Alaves vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Burgos CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Osasuna vs. Valencia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+728.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$33.33
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,370.6%+$178.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+222.6%+$111.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.