TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e29…9e66backed No70c13,191$9,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,957.22231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c8,643$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.921,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes30c5,943$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.8614346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No70c5,715$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.493767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3201258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c2,671$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c2,006$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.7952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c1,619$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.241,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.611668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes30c1,300$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes24c1,000$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.452334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+69.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes26c930.29$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ae…e344backed No70c927.14$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes30c761.26$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.383450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c749.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c747.58$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes30c663.48$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b2…f9b3backed No70c614$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a57…1d29backed No70c607.14$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c597.66$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5126660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff82…80d6backed No70c472$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b99…4960backed No70c434.29$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fcf…483fbacked No70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0b…0f92backed No71c410$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c403.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e76…3133backed No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No70c398$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.41457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes42c379$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7224642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No76c340$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.820232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed70…48c1backed No69c327.54$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes30c310.13$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0429949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes30c310$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9314247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c253$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes31c246.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.62835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes31c225$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.751926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No64c221.17$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.095322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+199.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Yes35c188.57$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes14c170$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5595…12a8backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9018…c0d1backed No70c131$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c108.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254520%9 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No69c99.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.992564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes30c90.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.571060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No69c86.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9526550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes31c86.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.914856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No66c82.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.043354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes31c72.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.69846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes30c68.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.627244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.314337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked No68c57.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c56.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5935037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes30c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes31c53.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.782128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked No77c52.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Yes30c51.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f04…0178backed Yes22c46.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes30c45.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.678942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No69c43.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes30c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes30c41.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69246.7%43 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.78856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa75…a864backed Yes32c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x095b…6f34backed No68c33.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc1…5305backed Yes31c32.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc12…05f2backed Yes31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c29.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…a9b1backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No70c19.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.099467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.93354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.