TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x095b…6f34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Weather, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 60 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT9447.9%45 W · 49 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$14.82
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.37
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$29.25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+180.7%+$49.13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.2%+$24.42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+91.6%+$57.47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.93
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+182.2%+$33.73
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39.7%+$4.02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4.64
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$18.86
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+67.2%+$43.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.46
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Siena Saints vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. USC Upstate Spartansbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.73
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Georgia State Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. West Georgia Wolvesbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.89
Cornell Big Red vs. Columbia Lionsbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Miami Hurricanes vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$52.79
Butler Bulldogs vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.9
SMU Mustangs vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.11
Princeton Tigers vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37.5%+$10.97
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.75
Oregon Ducks vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.9%+$18.28
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.4%+$20.68
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.16
Chicago State Cougars vs. New Haven Chargersbacked New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.13
Temple Owls vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25.7%+$3.08
Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$7.7
Villanova Wildcats vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.1%+$5.86
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+41.4%+$22.7
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.2%+$26.27
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+50.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.5%+$6.19
Will Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+93.4%+$17.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.