TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Manhattan Jaspers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Manhattan Jaspersof Sacred Heart Pioneers, Manhattan Jaspers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Manhattan Jaspers73c1,482$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.535,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers47c862.84$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.533,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Manhattan Jaspers39c773.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.381,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sacred Heart Pioneers21c622.13$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.681,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers42c471.69$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.51,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Manhattan Jaspers43c456.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.074,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers46c368.88$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.071,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sacred Heart Pioneers56c327.24$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.482,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed Sacred Heart Pioneers6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Sacred Heart Pioneers46c223$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sacred Heart Pioneers40c192.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.771,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers62c177.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9938343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sacred Heart Pioneers71c136.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.363,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Manhattan Jaspers44c123.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sacred Heart Pioneers20c122$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.663,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Manhattan Jaspers34c120.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.15637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers73c120$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.645953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Manhattan Jaspers30c116.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6720234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers53c113.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e4…ec34backed Sacred Heart Pioneers18c111.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Manhattan Jaspers41c110.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5938345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Sacred Heart Pioneers77c101.11$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7825544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sacred Heart Pioneers74c90$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.631,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Manhattan Jaspers46c78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.126648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Manhattan Jaspers38c76.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.527247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers52c68.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Manhattan Jaspers64c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.322,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manhattan Jaspers30c45.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.731,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Manhattan Jaspers55c42.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9630945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Manhattan Jaspers40c39.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.962,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Manhattan Jaspers46c37.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.441,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x095b…6f34backed Sacred Heart Pioneers61c36.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.112236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e82…47d5backed Manhattan Jaspers36c30.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.561741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers55c29.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Sacred Heart Pioneers42c27.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.569525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Sacred Heart Pioneers53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Sacred Heart Pioneers54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed Sacred Heart Pioneers78c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.823956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers74c14.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.536459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.