Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae2a04168bddd8807c4c6f28ddda169abc2770c4ecad3c54eef01f3744923b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 54c | 61,532$33,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,104.7 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 46c | 25,000$11,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,485.86 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 46c | 18,398$8,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,463.16 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 10,181$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,477.79 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 8,008$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 55c | 3,451$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.87 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 46c | 377.88$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 46c | 349.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 46c | 137$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 46c | 131.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 57c | 126.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 45c | 64.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Over | 44c | 45.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…2108backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0014backed Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Under | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 45c | 26.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 56c | 26.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 45c | 23.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 162.5this page
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Manhattan JaspersManhattan Jaspers won
- Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.