TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x077a…ec51

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.05
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Idaho State Bengalsbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Lipscomb Bisonsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.1%+$22.22
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.41
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norsebacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.2%+$29.83
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Youngstown State Penguinsbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.94
Toledo Rockets vs. James Madison Dukesbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. LIU Sharksbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.48
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.18
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Arkansas State Red Wolvesbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+32.2%+$13.64
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.14
Richmond Spiders vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37.2%+$10.92
Siena Saints vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+32.1%+$14.13
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.9%+$8.06
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. USC Upstate Spartansbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.12
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Georgia State Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
Miami Hurricanes vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.98
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Butler Bulldogs vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+36.9%+$21.78
SMU Mustangs vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+41.9%+$12.2
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.46
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+83.5%+$12.74
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+83.6%+$10.47
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+60.4%+$15.82
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.67
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+134.2%+$50.18
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+51.1%+$65.27
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+115.5%+$25.64
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50.1
Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.3%+$8.62
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.82
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.58
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.65
Will Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.3
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+173.7%+$20.85
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+141.8%+$44.89
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+125.4%+$15.58
ASB Classic: Francesca Jones vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.73
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Laslo Djerebacked Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Brisbane International: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkovabacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Michael Mmoh vs Patrick Kypsonbacked Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$57.55
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+35.5%+$23.33
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Alejandro Tabilo vs Yi Zhoubacked Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
ASB Classic: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+59.6%+$7.47
ASB Classic: Sinja Kraus vs Julia Grabherbacked Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+40%+$17.14
Brisbane International: Olivia Gadecki vs Ann Libacked Gadecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+35.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.61
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37.9%+$8.25
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+110.9%+$17.67
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.36
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+162.6%+$168.92
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.94
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Trailer Park Boys (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$5.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$117.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.