Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06298d988d1062d0a96369a2846a3c85a2f4e2c4ca5c31d1bbfd0ac37d1c5d56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 2,210$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 21c | 1,559$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.81 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,472$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.57 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 10c | 900.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 78c | 891$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8c…7b6bbacked Yes | 6c | 798.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 788$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 750.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 10c | 745$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 11c | 687.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 658.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 10c | 612.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…5593backed Yes | 5c | 572.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 8c | 565.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 19c | 548.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 7c | 530.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 19c | 518.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 9c | 510$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 11c | 434.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 8c | 414.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 21c | 411.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 6c | 385.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 17c | 351$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 8c | 340.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 13c | 314.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes | 19c | 301.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d50…0858backed Yes | 14c | 292.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed Yes | 9c | 252$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 10c | 246.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 10c | 245.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 226.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 8c | 221.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 11c | 220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 7c | 216.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 15c | 205$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ded…fbcdbacked Yes | 7c | 203.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 197.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…eba2backed Yes | 8c | 185.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 15c | 185.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…1768backed Yes | 11c | 176.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…ee5cbacked Yes | 11c | 174.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +409.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 168.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Yes | 13c | 161.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 10c | 156.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…0cf6backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 17c | 144.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 10c | 144.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes | 18c | 112.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…6f46backed Yes | 10c | 107.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 21c | 103.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9b9abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…16c4backed Yes | 12c | 98.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…f07dbacked Yes | 11c | 89.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 12c | 88.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…ba60backed Yes | 24c | 82.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 24c | 79.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…bb3ebacked Yes | 26c | 77.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c98…9575backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…c001backed Yes | 21c | 52.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa238…c6b1backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 27.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 79c | 24.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 77c | 19.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.