Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98595f1e96578735a1a6c7c8143e111fc95f0d514188f50c6a649c7c9d2f022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 12c | 8,019$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,031.62 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 0c | 6,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed Yes | 8c | 3,833$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.72 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 3,400$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.64 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…25a7backed Yes | 10c | 3,146$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +861.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa634…ef90backed Yes | 10c | 2,473$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +861.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,609$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.96 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…5593backed Yes | 16c | 1,499$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 18c | 1,475$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.24 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,260$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 1,248$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.53 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 6c | 1,243$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.97 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…61abbacked Yes | 9c | 1,243$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +549.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…38cbbacked No | 15c | 1,222$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 7c | 1,191$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.91 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 10c | 862.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.9 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 14c | 845.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.73 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 9c | 784.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.36 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 15c | 745$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 696.62$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.75 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 9c | 565.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.03 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 9c | 529.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 13c | 510$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08b9…552dbacked Yes | 7c | 492.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +554.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 8c | 469.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.23 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 8c | 459.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.09 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 450$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.5 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 13c | 448.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.66 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 9c | 412.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.54 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.7 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 399.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…b01ebacked No | 67c | 393.58$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…f1c3backed Yes | 5c | 364.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…c11abacked Yes | 14c | 356.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.68 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 60c | 335.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 10c | 325.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.78 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…ee5cbacked Yes | 5c | 305.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +409.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 238.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.03 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 233.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Yes | 11c | 230.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 8c | 226.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.52 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…e398backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…dfc5backed Yes | 79c | 220.14$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 9c | 220$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…5294backed Yes | 9c | 219.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +466.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 24c | 218.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 15c | 202.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 200.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed Yes | 67c | 199.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 10c | 195$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 30c | 187.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 8c | 178.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 10c | 169.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 80c | 161$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…c6ebbacked Yes | 60c | 159.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed Yes | 10c | 152.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 8c | 143.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…67fabacked Yes | 15c | 136.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 36c | 135.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 14c | 125.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 119.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 11c | 119.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…3c17backed Yes | 28c | 118.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 30cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…58febacked No | 22c | 113.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 9c | 113.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 13c | 111.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 10c | 105$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes | 21c | 100.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed Yes | 71c | 91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb899…7d8abacked Yes | 68c | 79.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…f037backed Yes | 63c | 74.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…36abbacked Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 74c | 66.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 31c | 65.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…18eebacked Yes | 15c | 64.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.48per pick | 14cpaid | +456.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Yes | 76c | 51.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 67c | 45.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…af42backed Yes | 68c | 38.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bb…fccabacked Yes | 65c | 33.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…dc6dbacked Yes | 67c | 33.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…3d0fbacked Yes | 67c | 31.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked Yes | 51c | 31.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 74c | 24.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 74c | 22.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 73c | 13.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.