Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd93b72e6fa610f9896d42d8784fac9fa9f24efb49a1818a3fc73c724d45326c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ea…0b53backed Yes | 9c | 1,332$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,196$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,192$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 13c | 980.54$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 3c | 960.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c7…4480backed Yes | 12c | 954.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 10c | 873.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…5f95backed Yes | 22c | 872.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 11c | 748$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 8c | 745$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…ed2ebacked Yes | 3c | 678.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 8c | 565.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 10c | 554.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 4c | 510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 500.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…368cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 17c | 449.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 7c | 420$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed Yes | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 7c | 391.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…92a3backed Yes | 8c | 359.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8c…7b6bbacked Yes | 8c | 333.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…f295backed Yes | 15c | 327.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…ee5cbacked Yes | 9c | 325.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +409.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 8c | 305.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 12c | 302.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…a2cebacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 10c | 259.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 9c | 257.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa111…0c79backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 7c | 231.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 8c | 226.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 13c | 220$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 216.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 10c | 205$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…5319backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 10c | 196.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 9c | 189.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f54…adfebacked Yes | 11c | 188.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 8c | 182$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…b21dbacked Yes | 8c | 176.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 169.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 11c | 144.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c9…8d60backed Yes | 15c | 137.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +343%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…bb3ebacked Yes | 15c | 135.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed Yes | 9c | 135.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes | 9c | 127.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 9c | 127.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…c2e3backed Yes | 9c | 118.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0116…fdf7backed Yes | 13c | 114.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Yes | 12c | 102.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 48c | 74.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…ad95backed Yes | 14c | 70.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.