Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb126150973e7760b3fb30b5d4518d7ac53d744c5ac31c0716406fc894e807d84

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $109,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,535 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0c79…1d00backed Yes	12c	12,644$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.9	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b5c…c056backed Yes	9c	11,593$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,087.48	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+7.5wins	+0.19per pick	32cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes	15c	2,638$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.24	302	38.1%115 W · 187 L	+11.1wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9d1…7274backed Yes	11c	1,910$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	12c	1,735$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.69	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	1c	1,664$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	293	4.1%12 W · 281 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b3…9989backed Yes	2c	1,598$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.77	68	4.4%3 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+123.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13b6…c633backed Yes	1c	1,281$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	75	2.7%2 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes	13c	1,267$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.96	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.19per pick	34cpaid	+84.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked No	80c	1,200$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	39	69.2%27 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	10c	1,181$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.11	1,024	9.1%93 W · 931 L	-25.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes	2c	1,141$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.32	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+4.1wins	+0.16per pick	30cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes	2c	1,069$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.74	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	+11.5wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	12c	995.39$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.61	353	34%120 W · 233 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2180…5345backed Yes	20c	970.1$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	968.52$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.52	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb601…2a11backed Yes	24c	831.5$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf940…3239backed Yes	15c	774.08$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…5c87backed Yes	18c	745$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.62	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03bd…b422backed Yes	6c	719.7$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes	3c	717.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	8c	706.9$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.58	103	5.8%6 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	680.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	222	1.4%3 W · 219 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	15c	662.16$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.58	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…5beabacked Yes	4c	653.07$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes	5c	650$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	188	4.3%8 W · 180 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…5593backed Yes	2c	644.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	13c	565.43$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.23	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b9…552dbacked Yes	4c	562.82$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.44per pick	6cpaid	+554.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed Yes	12c	562.82$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.54	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a7…c60dbacked Yes	18c	555.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes	24c	511.83$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.7	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	49cpaid	+184.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21a3…9e97backed Yes	2c	510$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6d…5144backed Yes	19c	500$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes	2c	482.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	16cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes	9c	480.41$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	320	23.4%75 W · 245 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	9c	435.57$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.69	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+13.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	10c	400$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed Yes	12c	392.76$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.06	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	+12.3wins	+0.17per pick	23cpaid	+131.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	7c	382.82$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.57	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	5c	381.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	123	48.8%60 W · 63 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d0…256cbacked Yes	13c	381.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	16c	352.38$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.62	264	13.3%35 W · 229 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No	78c	348.68$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.38	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x578f…f112backed No	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked Yes	19c	250$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.13	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+38%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	234.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes	18c	231.61$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.69	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-10.1wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-55%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked Yes	9c	227.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.48	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-8.2wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16c0…38acbacked Yes	12c	227.26$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.12	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-92.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	10c	226.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1e…f060backed Yes	13c	222.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	36cpaid	-79%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes	12c	220$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.85	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed Yes	10c	218$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc79f…e3febacked Yes	12c	208.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.15	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x563a…f578backed Yes	13c	208.91$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-85%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed Yes	16c	200.67$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	121	2.5%3 W · 118 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c9…3039backed Yes	13c	197.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes	8c	195.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-6.2wins	-0.18per pick	29cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f09…f1c3backed Yes	11c	180.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+132.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes	16c	180$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	9c	169.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	212	28.8%61 W · 151 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	7c	161$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	218	15.6%34 W · 184 L	-37.8wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	33-0.16 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes	8c	155.2$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	292	36.3%106 W · 186 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+25%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fde…cbbebacked Yes	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Yes	15c	144.32$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	8c	135$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	84	0%0 W · 84 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf57d…bf12backed Yes	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa3e…3b79backed Yes	18c	119.87$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-36%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da3…67fabacked Yes	16c	110.18$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	15cpaid	+235.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc493…b8f3backed Yes	18c	110$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+161.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f3…80e4backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes	16c	92.96$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	111	39.6%44 W · 67 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…6c52backed Yes	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes	18c	56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+28%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	20c	54.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.97	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No	80c	27$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.49	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea4c…f3b4backed No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ba…6391backed No	73c	19.03$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.04	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe784…fb5dbacked No	75c	17.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?this page
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?No won
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes won
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?No won
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?No won
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?No won
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?No won
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event