Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a8d6ca2d11883eaa923e66ad37e3f490a4171e28003c37d07f9b1040a7cb531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 14c | 29,226$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.53 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…0b0dbacked No | 73c | 15,900$11,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…a044backed Yes | 25c | 13,084$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Yes | 39c | 6,982$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…5beabacked Yes | 29c | 5,943$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…3871backed No | 66c | 5,467$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 64c | 4,863$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.07 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f54…adfebacked Yes | 13c | 4,346$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 58c | 4,097$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.72 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed No | 45c | 4,040$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 25cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes | 22c | 3,383$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 4c | 3,272$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb601…2a11backed Yes | 38c | 2,922$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 20c | 2,835$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.75 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 74c | 2,830$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.28 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 29c | 2,182$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.8 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 2,114$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.83 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 73c | 2,056$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 61c | 2,045$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.69 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 65c | 1,746$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…bb3ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,739$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,731$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 29c | 1,730$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3961backed Yes | 27c | 1,701$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes | 37c | 1,559$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 1,440$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.34 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 29c | 1,419$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.92 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 1,263$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.06 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa111…0c79backed Yes | 30c | 1,224$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed Yes | 21c | 1,180$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 55c | 1,091$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.29 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 62c | 1,085$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.83 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 68c | 1,078$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.67 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4396…f0e1backed Yes | 28c | 1,076$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…82c5backed Yes | 8c | 1,028$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd9…3399backed No | 67c | 1,003$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f54…e9e9backed Yes | 47c | 977.42$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 35cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 36c | 933.72$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.93 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 932.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 58c | 924.03$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Yes | 57c | 866.19$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed No | 74c | 824.53$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 46c | 778.69$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.36 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 4c | 778.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 17c | 745$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 627.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 72c | 599.99$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 572.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 565.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 3c | 510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…129ebacked Yes | 27c | 508.79$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…4ac0backed Yes | 20c | 503.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…3c56backed No | 35c | 500$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…ff01backed Yes | 39c | 485.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…3bfdbacked Yes | 52c | 483.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 53c | 482.08$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 10c | 480$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 48c | 468.51$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.18 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 10c | 453.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 64c | 439.11$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…eba2backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185b…4a03backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc6…75bfbacked Yes | 21c | 385$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 367.42$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923e…ab45backed Yes | 56c | 365.09$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8aa2backed Yes | 31c | 363.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes | 7c | 359.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 353.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 65c | 351.76$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…833ebacked Yes | 48c | 334.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…2833backed Yes | 28c | 320.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 320.42$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 309.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 74c | 309.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…49efbacked Yes | 7c | 294.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…61cebacked Yes | 27c | 274.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…e554backed No | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 42c | 250$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 5c | 243.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 242.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 25c | 229$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 66c | 228.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 226.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 7c | 226.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 13c | 225.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 15c | 220$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…0265backed Yes | 48c | 220$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 76c | 214.06$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 14c | 213.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 13c | 213.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…6f46backed Yes | 21c | 212.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 72c | 210$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…df65backed Yes | 38c | 209.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6822…2e97backed Yes | 58c | 207.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 5c | 205$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 79c | 204.15$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f1…30f8backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4510backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.