TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4169…98e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
258
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Tweets, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3683.3%30 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$24.12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$6.96
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.99
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$9.02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.62
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.1%+$4.28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+41.2%+$15.63
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.3%+$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.6%+$9.25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.7%+$19.62
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+67.9%+$10.28
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25.6%+$3.36
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+30.6%+$9.31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+36.7%+$8.05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+45.1%+$11.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.8%+$10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.2%+$22.34
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$47.15
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$38.19
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+277.8%+$125.51
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.05
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$12.42
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$6.91
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$4.75
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$62.06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.78
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.16
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$2.68
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.35
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$44.65
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$15.65
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$11.77
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$50.55
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.3%+$4.69
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.7%+$10.58
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$30.27
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.33
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$4.02
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$5.47
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+135%+$89.05
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$9.68
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$7.91
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$88.5
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.49
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$3.16
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$56.64
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$22.58
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.83
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$28.35
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.57
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.06
Will Benicio del Toro win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.38
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+48.1%+$4.96
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+54%+$9.76
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.15
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.4%+$6.15
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$7.42
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$41.15
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$25.71
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$19.6
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$14.98
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$12.8
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.51
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.77
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$4.53
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$3.06
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$13.05
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$57.15
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$15.73
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$42.34
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$46.96
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$8.66
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25.9%+$4.28
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$3.37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.72
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$40.3
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+211.6%+$47.91
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.49
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.9
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$24.23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$65.51
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$58.91
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+41%+$10.82
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.5%+$42.82
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.2%+$11.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.17
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.4%+$30.71
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.97
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.9%+$55.98
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.23
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$5.81
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.63
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$46.87
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+60.9%+$17.31
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.74
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+68.4%+$27.77
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+27.6%+$3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.7%+$18.9
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41.5%+$4.27
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.5%+$3.18
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38%+$4.32
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+50.3%+$8.59
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25.6%+$17.11
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$64.61
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+235.9%+$71.07
All 18 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+50.7%+$46.79
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$81.58
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27.1%+$16.55
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$64.24
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.59
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+99.9%+$59.3
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.4%+$17.76
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.31
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.46
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.1%+$7.69
Will Finley Melville Ives (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+169.9%+$17.38
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+51.4%+$18.74
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+29.4%+$4.62
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$6.33
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$8.85
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$26.21
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.74
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$13.33
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+199.7%+$32.68
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+48.5%+$38.23
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.3%+$7.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.