TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The American Express tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x838f…d414backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes38c9,453$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,896.4922546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Yes24c7,698$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,857.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+109.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No76c7,143$5,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,428.854540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No58c5,881$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.185044%22 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes37c4,333$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes49c3,917$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.131947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No54c3,400$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c3,369$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.62953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Yes35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+82.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes38c2,725$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.55580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+104.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb79…e05cbacked Yes45c2,205$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No65c2,130$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3935133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x638f…4de0backed Yes33c1,529$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+94.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No72c1,290$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.187031.4%22 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes44c1,140$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786c…f663backed No64c1,118$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes31c1,014$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.613348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes40c1,001$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked No68c799.98$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.991227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No63c776.91$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.99560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No58c707.82$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.944065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef05…4d9fbacked Yes37c661.35$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes45c646.61$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.2714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes38c641.33$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.283823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No61c636.69$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.77062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No62c588.25$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.35911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-81.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf4e…51a7backed No60c573.5$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Yes46c547$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec1c…4b95backed No70c499$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No68c482.29$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes47c470.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No65c459.91$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.413411.8%4 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9123…9dd3backed Yes23c429.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes47c412.43$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.838118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes38c410.46$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+121%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes37c406.71$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.96425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Yes45c402.88$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x512f…a99cbacked No58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aee…a444backed Yes43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7f…a2e3backed Yes50c380.05$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.41333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No64c376.82$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No63c339.95$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.521861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No63c333.4$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.271662.5%10 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No63c327.33$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.616958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350d…b898backed No63c320.46$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes15c316.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.44353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x795f…4ec5backed Yes32c313.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No60c309.03$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked No62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-90.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf21…2ed8backed Yes27c278.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No66c269.52$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.872669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No63c268.25$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1698756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes37c261.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+106.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes32c248.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.584520%9 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes41c236.01$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.51378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf726…bcfebacked Yes39c235$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc419…5bb5backed Yes46c218.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaab…8b4cbacked Yes33c197.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No21c193.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked Yes34c192.16$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+191%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77df…731abacked Yes47c177.32$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No78c173.81$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.573729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No49c172$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.88825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No42c153.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.511233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+43.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7eb…28a9backed No78c130$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No65c123.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.041464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No65c121.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No11c101.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-53.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-77.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…7239backed Yes37c99.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No45c92.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.53360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No64c91.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.562454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes36c87.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.024323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba0…a6afbacked Yes37c75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2831backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes38c63.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes64c62.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43917.9%7 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5681…b253backed No52c55.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa548…1fd5backed No52c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes45c53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes38c52.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.061030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes28c49.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.54728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+127.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4169…98e9backed No64c46.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…b37dbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd416…ece5backed No63c40.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a4…8b03backed Yes44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9064…084dbacked No42c33.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd91…6262backed Yes34c30.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+196.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28a…d195backed Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2af…4e5bbacked Yes39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x317d…5735backed No71c28.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7ac8backed No71c28.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b33…71b8backed No70c27.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked Yes43c25.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7464…71cfbacked Yes67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd134…d428backed No71c23.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cf…78c4backed No58c20.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7510850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf124…9d72backed No63c19.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.