TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7eb…28a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$1,189.98
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+564.1%+$2,973
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,835Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,665
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,085.47
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$301
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,066.72
Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$723.87
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45.45
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$382.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-74.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+36%+$79.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$101.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.