Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed6fe1051827a92cd88bcda75cb18a0c1c6432a534b1175fa722f72329431df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,871,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,855,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,871,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 52c | 2,087,116$1,085,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001,684.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked No | 48c | 500,000$240,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 48c | 258,883$124,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,263.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,999.98 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 48c | 149,822$71,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,914.73 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No | 48c | 127,607$61,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,251.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…b76dbacked No | 50c | 100,022$50,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,010.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 48c | 97,000$46,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,560 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 91,195$42,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,290.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 49c | 90,725$44,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,130.77 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 47c | 80,000$37,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,900 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 48c | 62,972$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,972.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 62,597$32,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,298.56 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed No | 49c | 45,647$22,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,440.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 48c | 45,196$21,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,703.74 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed No | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 30,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.99 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 48c | 25,166$12,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,138.02 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 52c | 24,896$12,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,983.04 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 49c | 24,245$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 23,799$11,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,690.55 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked No | 49c | 21,858$10,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed No | 49c | 20,000$9,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,721.78 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.99 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.24 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 48c | 18,495$8,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed No | 49c | 15,592$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 0c | 15,528$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 14,021$7,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,144.49 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 51c | 13,769$6,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,965.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 47c | 12,222$5,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,744.34 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 47c | 10,100$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 53c | 9,357$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 21c | 8,300$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 49c | 8,044$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.42 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 53c | 8,005$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 52c | 7,622$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.5 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 11c | 7,201$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.11 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 52c | 6,614$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 6,437$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.43 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 48c | 6,390$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.19 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked No | 9c | 6,277$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 6,211$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 48c | 5,675$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.05 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 79c | 5,483$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.87 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked No | 49c | 4,888$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 54c | 4,583$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.93 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,816$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.89 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.02 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…8cddbacked Yes | 60c | 3,486$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 52c | 3,389$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.49 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 47c | 3,158$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 12c | 2,921$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 2,917$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.61 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 27c | 2,501$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.31 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,377$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 48c | 2,131$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.61 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 17c | 2,113$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.29 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 50c | 2,099$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.05 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…56a3backed Yes | 51c | 1,963$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 1,933$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 52c | 1,903$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.96 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Yes | 53c | 1,880$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 51c | 1,870$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.83 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 56c | 1,793$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 28c | 1,788$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 53c | 1,764$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.02 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 47c | 1,745$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.61 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 49c | 1,692$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…65cabacked Yes | 44c | 1,689$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 1,688$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.17 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 45c | 1,664$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.44 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed No | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,498$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 44c | 1,496$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.36 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed No | 41c | 1,462$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.