TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x827f…7f59backed Yes19c11,533$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.224841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No73c4,636$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.662763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes29c4,490$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.057841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked No74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid+7.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes24c3,338$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c3,251$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.072,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes26c2,400$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes28c2,143$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…56a3backed Yes27c2,044$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.56540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed No73c1,972$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.95650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes27c1,600$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.0190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes19c1,177$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes18c1,138$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8513132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes10c999.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes28c800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22417544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No73c793.23$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1727750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes27c787.09$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4511846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes19c736.84$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes18c700$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No78c596$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4627141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c529.49$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.552,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1f…17a5backed Yes19c526.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes12c522.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.281,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes21c471.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910029%29 W · 71 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes17c406.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6811019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bc…b707backed Yes14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes19c371.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.197655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x252e…a177backed Yes7c333.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes8c250.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.919137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes7c227.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No73c221$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.673881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes27c206.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013445.5%61 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes9c165.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yes8c156.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed Yes17c147.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec8…09dfbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes28c131.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.842161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes13c116.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bdf…89c4backed Yes19c106.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6314…4b48backed Yes10c105.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac70…d0e7backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c6…4a55backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2844036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes19c99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc035…5414backed Yes27c96.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.11030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2278…3188backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ff…1ea2backed Yes14c87.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Yes28c85.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1536563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2538…b975backed No74c74.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x363b…fb76backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Yes27c71.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208839.8%35 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed No72c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.124341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156659.1%39 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43dc…44fabacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34e9…e6c7backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x891e…6c11backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8207…7edbbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108338.6%32 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No69c45.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1416863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x785a…5a99backed Yes31c45.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No72c29.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.217972.2%57 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No73c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3210534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.