TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc56d…c484

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT8041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$185.1
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$97
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$117
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+102%+$101
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$83
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.5
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120.12
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$88
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+382.2%+$317.05
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$65
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$141.82
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.38
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+212.3%+$130.41
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$181.86
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$60.62
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.44
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.56
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$76.99
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+82%+$223.67
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.2
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$945.03
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,102.44
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$665
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.17
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$119.43
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.66
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$110.2
IR Iran vs. Gambia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.68
Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,571Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$437
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$84.33
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.96
Will Peru win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Senegal vs. Peru: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+84.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$139.79
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.25
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$40.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$714.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.