Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d17130a9f803cdc17263becfdcdee88fe2deca0b4966339b9284b9f6ccddeb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 61c | 12,000$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 39c | 11,866$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,238.14 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 9,758$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 9,292$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 60c | 8,334$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.4 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 8,146$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.87 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…fe91backed Under | 51c | 7,112$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 68c | 6,030$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under | 44c | 4,373$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 3,438$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.27 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 63c | 3,156$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.24 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Under | 66c | 2,418$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 69c | 2,289$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.23 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 48c | 2,102$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 49c | 1,995$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 53c | 1,653$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 66c | 1,555$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 36c | 1,341$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.1 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 1,334$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 1,322$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.76 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 51c | 1,244$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 57c | 899.98$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.99 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 37c | 886.6$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.72 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 40c | 850.55$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.22 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 61c | 835.48$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Under | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 66c | 699.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.44 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 31c | 683.79$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.34 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 67c | 640.76$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 57c | 553.42$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.2 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Under | 77c | 468.84$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Over | 24c | 453.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Under | 56c | 417.91$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…34b5backed Over | 47c | 410.11$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 50c | 357.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 23c | 355.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Under | 40c | 296.93$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Under | 72c | 277.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 271.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 25c | 270$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 66c | 266.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…7708backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 72c | 230.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…6d71backed Over | 53c | 226.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 67c | 224.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 21c | 221.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 23c | 221.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 78c | 219.35$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 44c | 179.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 62c | 170.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 56c | 159.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Over | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 145.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…fe68backed Under | 47c | 136.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Over | 63c | 127.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 25c | 125.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 61c | 118.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 63c | 107.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 30c | 105$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 15c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Over | 33c | 88.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13a…f9f2backed Over | 63c | 81.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…530dbacked Under | 47c | 73.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 56c | 70.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 29c | 69.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 55c | 68.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 64.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 63.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 67c | 63.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 36c | 63.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 37c | 60.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 43c | 60.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…2542backed Over | 53c | 56.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 34c | 55.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Under | 52c | 53.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 74c | 50.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Under | 71c | 50.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 78c | 47.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 61c | 41.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 78c | 40.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.