TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd10c…0645backed Over61c12,000$7,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,319.991947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under39c11,866$4,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,238.1420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c9,758$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c9,292$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.724,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over60c8,334$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.48153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under58c8,146$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.8788635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Under51c7,112$3,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,487.831070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+71.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.992050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under68c6,030$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.7875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under44c4,373$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.662152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c3,438$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.271,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under63c3,156$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.245954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb585…53edbacked Under66c2,418$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.721070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under69c2,289$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.233871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over48c2,102$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under49c1,995$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.492343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under53c1,653$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.072339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over66c1,555$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under36c1,341$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.15851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under61c1,334$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.331849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under43c1,322$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.7672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under51c1,244$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.751070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over57c899.98$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.9913721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c886.6$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7257833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over40c850.55$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.227252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over61c835.48$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.641154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Under62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over66c699.99$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.4412642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over31c683.79$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3459247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under67c640.76$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under57c553.42$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.211437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9911828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Under77c468.84$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.831118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.2wins-0.38per pick56cpaid-76.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Over24c453.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+99.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under79c450$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Under56c417.91$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b2…34b5backed Over47c410.11$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Over45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802075%15 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c357.1$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8411753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over23c355.04$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under40c296.93$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.161241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Under72c277.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.921275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under63c271.15$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over25c270$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over66c266.67$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfef0…7708backed Under78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411650%8 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under72c230.56$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.566442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Over53c226.04$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over67c224.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over21c221.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.623522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5087…2d85backed Over23c221.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under58c220$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.410751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under78c219.35$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.267660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under51c209.8$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.86160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over37c200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under60c200$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under44c179.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over62c170.47$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.695145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under56c159.93$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.911241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed Over13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55832.8%19 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under77c145.04$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.361,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.858759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0755…fe68backed Under47c136.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.45540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over63c127.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010535.2%37 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over25c125.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0122645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under61c118.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.725259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Over63c107.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.531346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over30c105$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3836545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over15c95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.619356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b31…b0debacked Over33c88.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13a…f9f2backed Over63c81.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaf…530dbacked Under47c73.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.745068%34 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Under56c70.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.04922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Over29c69.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Under55c68.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over60c64.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7625256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under78c63.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0233551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over67c63.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6111755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over36c63.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over37c60.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.318358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over43c60.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7820440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…2542backed Over53c56.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Over62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over34c55.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Under52c53.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.532867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over74c50.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Under71c50.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.624372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under78c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7812954.3%70 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under78c47.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.484938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under67c42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8641343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over61c41.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.469857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under78c40.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.