Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bbf7212899915fadaa434175839bd2284974d9bcabf0813ba731a7c0c24437d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 1,346$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 16c | 1,205$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 833.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 10c | 588.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 16c | 288.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…134fbacked Over | 11c | 279.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 13c | 142.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 14c | 112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…a6debacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 11c | 94.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…5430backed Under | 79c | 92.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…530dbacked Under | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5978backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 79c | 60.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 77c | 46.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Over | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 34c | 29.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 77c | 26.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.