Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8efae60ae9a4ca295ae82210c6fef0acd3fda5dd0adb45f8722d0472503198df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 886.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 17c | 680.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 665.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 16c | 347.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 17c | 169.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 16c | 154.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 18c | 139.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 17c | 124.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 16c | 122.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 16c | 109.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 21c | 83.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 79c | 68.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 16c | 67.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 22c | 66.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.