Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x621c7ecc8bda863881c1f8c0a34613b72f5648a5f6e295682b680882de6c7f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Ham United FCof Newcastle United FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Newcastle United FC | 24c | 2,912$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.81 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Newcastle United FC | 21c | 1,866$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.97 | 1,012 | 36%364 W · 648 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC | 75c | 1,358$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed West Ham United FC | 57c | 934.85$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Newcastle United FC | 25c | 724.26$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 660 | 32.9%217 W · 443 L | -32.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Newcastle United FC | 60c | 700$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed West Ham United FC | 72c | 550$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 792 | 36.1%286 W · 506 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…a49cbacked Newcastle United FC | 10c | 510$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed West Ham United FC | 64c | 389.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed West Ham United FC | 28c | 325.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 830 | 63%523 W · 307 L | +113.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed West Ham United FC | 65c | 242$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked West Ham United FC | 68c | 179.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 321 | 49.2%158 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Newcastle United FC | 33c | 167.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…2542backed Newcastle United FC | 39c | 122.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Newcastle United FC | 10c | 113.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 643 | 47.7%307 W · 336 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed West Ham United FC | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed West Ham United FC | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Newcastle United FC | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed West Ham United FC | 65c | 71.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Newcastle United FC | 31c | 70.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked West Ham United FC | 50c | 69.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed West Ham United FC | 68c | 57.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1,190 | 32.5%387 W · 803 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Newcastle United FC | 35c | 57.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Newcastle United FC | 44c | 55.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e0…fe5dbacked West Ham United FC | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 33.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 762 | 41.9%319 W · 443 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked West Ham United FC | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked West Ham United FC | 67c | 25.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.