TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2e0…fe5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+64.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+702.4%+$154.54
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$40.93
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.76
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$62.94
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61.3
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$109.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)backed Rosenborg BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)backed Vålerenga Fotball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$44.7
Will Djurgardens IF vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$9.13
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Will AZ win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Republic of Ireland (-2.5)backed Republic of Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)backed Republic of Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$59.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.