Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b7ad17b4d3f263dda6f0138360826dd9cc9c47f026d42a21cecadd4c9496f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 40,000$14,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,428.74 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 19,496$13,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 36c | 7,796$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 5,945$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.13 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 5,251$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.67 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed No | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 2,731$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.75 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 65c | 2,211$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.56 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 60c | 1,970$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 1,645$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.17 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 41c | 1,520$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 1,265$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.42 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 62c | 1,068$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.57 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 21c | 1,042$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.63 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 68c | 393.02$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked No | 61c | 325.16$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 39c | 299.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed No | 66c | 263.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 60c | 261.52$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 79c | 236.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed No | 68c | 196.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 69c | 171.78$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 150.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 29c | 140.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 139.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 64c | 119.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 35c | 109.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 35c | 109.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed No | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…fae0backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 85.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 66c | 82.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 65c | 79.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 36c | 79.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 79.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 36c | 64.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed No | 66c | 63.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed No | 66c | 62.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 62c | 61.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e0…fe5dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…d10cbacked No | 59c | 50.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 37c | 50.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 44.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 40.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 39.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 33c | 37.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked No | 71c | 36.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked No | 69c | 36.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 65c | 30.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 37c | 30.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 29.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 77c | 27.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 77c | 25.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…b0afbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed No | 63c | 24.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 68c | 24.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 73c | 23.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…323bbacked No | 65c | 20.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 68c | 17.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked No | 66c | 17.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…605dbacked No | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?No won
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.