Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd49273d3fb746846a7a8b04f68038cb7a410de42c10879b20018eb2676fd09f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 18c | 11,470$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.31 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 11,443$8,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.12 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 3,307$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.32 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,659$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 575.66$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 71c | 487.87$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 61c | 484.69$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 68c | 385.26$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 353.1$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 34c | 352$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 30c | 334.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 213.6$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 39c | 205.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 29c | 172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…3c42backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 20c | 123.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 13c | 118.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 116.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 71c | 112.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 36c | 90.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 85.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 80.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 37c | 67.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 66c | 67.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…6aadbacked Yes | 29c | 64.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 43.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 77c | 42.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 41c | 40.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9de9backed No | 72c | 36.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 71c | 29.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 42c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…3590backed No | 72c | 28.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c19…2881backed No | 71c | 28.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 16.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.