TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over48c84,999$40,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,474.0818352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under52c14,850$7,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,676.092,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2003167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under52c7,602$3,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,981.1310846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c7,261$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.888,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under52c6,544$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4031947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c5,920$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.011,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c4,616$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.551,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over38c4,006$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.5717146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under53c3,200$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69624855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under57c2,970$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.743444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under54c2,856$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5354143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over46c2,570$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.48133.3%27 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c2,485$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.483,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c2,401$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.281,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under53c2,400$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27213059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under52c2,400$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c1,561$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.413,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under52c1,429$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.291921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under52c1,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72823057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under53c1,400$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74216558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over52c1,239$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.2517440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62420046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63624053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Under67c1,119$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over45c1,086$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over42c1,047$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.2621538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under60c945$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.520036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c879.57$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.791,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Over47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.061963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under52c800$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4188351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42423056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under53c763.16$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9125866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over40c699.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4208343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under53c657.44$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0378756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31824956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under53c593.04$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.313243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under58c580.35$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c567.83$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3133560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c559.26$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over43c539.82$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.712940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over46c529.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0948922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under53c520$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.616559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under53c520$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.615857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under52c509.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.196349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over62c492.3$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.442263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c481$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under44c475.51$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0957540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under52c472.39$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5516653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6731745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c412$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.952,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over53c374.74$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8812156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c372.06$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.631,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a29…fa8dbacked Under55c331.56$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under53c320$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under53c312$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3621657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under53c312$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3620360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under52c310.48$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.048955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over49c308.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c304.02$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.981,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under47c303.33$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0519155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under53c290$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.73652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under53c280$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under53c274.75$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6211763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed Over56c272.86$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.061833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed Under52c240.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under47c239$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over46c212.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.771040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10615560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over49c192.41$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under52c190.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Under52c188$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.762045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c179.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6872350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over44c179.64$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.621837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under48c175.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under52c172.42$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6633266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Under59c170.71$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcb…95afbacked Under53c170.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over46c167.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3910039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.815359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over46c154.37$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3614727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under52c151.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.887554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Over62c142.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.382250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under58c140.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.52334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over46c127.7$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.542,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under52c120.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.558821.6%19 W · 69 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.641654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.351,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…2e93backed Over43c116.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over65c115.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8876951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Under59c108.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.388660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under52c92.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Over39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.