South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf26734f8bbae6e5e7629978353b7efccd88f88fa9900f6a821a0d339910301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 72c | 4,362$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.93 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 1,686$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.54 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,543$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over | 77c | 1,261$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 77c | 1,202$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 1,047$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Over | 78c | 892.17$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 840.02$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.78 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Under | 13c | 620.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 25c | 586$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Under | 20c | 508.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 24c | 500$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 66c | 462.48$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.27 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 72c | 410.6$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 26c | 334.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Under | 14c | 319.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 23c | 319.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…b2a8backed Over | 73c | 297.7$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…d22dbacked Under | 28c | 295.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…6210backed Over | 69c | 291.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 29c | 285.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…a1d5backed Over | 73c | 270.82$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Over | 74c | 269.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 267.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 27c | 259.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 73c | 255.42$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 27c | 240.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 208.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 179.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 177.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 22c | 173.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 168.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 78c | 164.29$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 11c | 125.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Over | 73c | 118.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 28c | 115.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 73c | 110.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 72c | 93.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…6c88backed Under | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Under | 29c | 67.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 28c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 28c | 62.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 72c | 51.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 73c | 50.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 28c | 48.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 27c | 45.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 72c | 37.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 66c | 37.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 28c | 36.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 35.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 74c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 34c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 72c | 34.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 79c | 33.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 76c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.