South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a2438d524f97866ae812dd8f358dec77c0ec6786bb47bb08c6819a13835d8cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 13c | 9,691$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,419.47 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Under | 3c | 2,561$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 79c | 2,218$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.9 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 68c | 1,474$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 9c | 1,249$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.16 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 49c | 1,217$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.84 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 1,054$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.16 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 847.91$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.96 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 12c | 833.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.27 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 32c | 703.78$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.79 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 32c | 676.13$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.09 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 25c | 615.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.89 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 61c | 591$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.6 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 23c | 499.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.28 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over | 38c | 434.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.58 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 48c | 425.64$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 421.56$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.39 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 50c | 386.92$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 56c | 320.93$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 66c | 301.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 52c | 290.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 248.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 242.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1891…fd78backed Over | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 50c | 194.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 13c | 161.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over | 37c | 157.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 75c | 150.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 53c | 143.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 58c | 91.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 55c | 90.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 44c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 38c | 86.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Over | 50c | 86.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Over | 30c | 83.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 41c | 83.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 82.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 48c | 80.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 24c | 79.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 38c | 61.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 54.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Under | 59c | 53.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 40c | 39.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 49c | 39.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 52c | 38.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 37.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 56c | 34.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 38c | 33.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 47c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 54c | 27.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 49c | 26.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ef…b3debacked Under | 78c | 25.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 45c | 25.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b5a2backed Under | 55c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 50c | 24.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 52c | 20.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.