South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x857540cc08ac12596ec21141ba327edc309bc9927ca13519b7bb3e020d45f13e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 6c | 10,499$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.12 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 2c | 3,214$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Under | 3c | 1,617$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Under | 1c | 1,424$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 1,338$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.06 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 22c | 1,291$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.79 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 23c | 999.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 685.74$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 25c | 497.73$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.3 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 22c | 459.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 78c | 355.78$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 30c | 299.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.81 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 44c | 280$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 280$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 259$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 65c | 211.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 75c | 199.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…6210backed Over | 22c | 179.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 68c | 147.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 134.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 13c | 112.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 23c | 80.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 77c | 78.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 73.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 67c | 67.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 77c | 37.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 79c | 30.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 77c | 20.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 76c | 13.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.