South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa7e5a60d9ef005eceec9f9cbe3d5ef278bc29104dc42091dfecadc62053bed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3389…5bcfbacked No | 49c | 1,512$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 46c | 1,041$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 50c | 608.82$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.4 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 50c | 600.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.64 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 573.26$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.97 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 51c | 529$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.21 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 51c | 500.65$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 54c | 450.49$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.26 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…09f8backed Yes | 53c | 333.7$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 54c | 279.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 272.61$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed No | 47c | 210.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 53c | 172.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 166.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 116.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 52c | 93.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 47c | 88.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…6fbbbacked No | 48c | 53.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed No | 44c | 44.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 42.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…fa8dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 37.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 53c | 31.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 54c | 27.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 54c | 26.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 67c | 26.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 52c | 22.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Yes | 53c | 21.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 53c | 20.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes | 53c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.