TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc338…974e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
419
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT19746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.07
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.79
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.55
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$171.29
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.99
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$110.51
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.61
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.96
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.49
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.25
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$202.45
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT8528.2%24 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$80.71
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.08
Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110.01
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203.8%+$40.76
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)backed SC Corinthians Paulista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)backed Fluminense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.96
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$170.77
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$90.56
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$37.84
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.96
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.67
Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$57.44
Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.94
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)backed FC Twente '65 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-2.5)backed Rams Başakşehir FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: PSV (-2.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+164%+$31.58
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.83
Eyüpspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.71
Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$49.16
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104%+$20.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+62%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$31.36
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.86
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.14
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.31
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$95.66
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.96
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.71
FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.19
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$76.16
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.85
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.05
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.58
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+109%+$32.71
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.