TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,907 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over65c20,000$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,899.936468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c11,533$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,530.644,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under36c9,170$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,827.7782844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under51c8,597$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,212.341450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over72c6,346$4,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,569.33557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under46c2,925$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over76c2,662$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.192166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c2,660$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.2228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under43c2,200$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.2923456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over48c2,060$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.828045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3316…c25ebacked Under52c1,872$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Under52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under37c1,690$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.7592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over58c1,540$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over54c1,492$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.2511345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Over75c1,310$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.122334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c1,249$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.5512445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over49c1,077$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.7322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under73c805.62$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under26c735.08$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.965166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Over67c729.81$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.592657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over56c645.11$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.016657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over61c596.73$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.012846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c561.86$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.941,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c553.13$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.443,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over50c516.88$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.449244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over50c500.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0119260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over49c492.62$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3822758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.517659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under34c477.38$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0761557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over57c458.33$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.72343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under53c448.68$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.887750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under67c425.25$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7220360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under67c425.25$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.729164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over46c413.02$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.681030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over53c398.44$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1737829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over76c347.41$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2140357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over64c331.38$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc93b…9e73backed Over55c316.6$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over49c305.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9116660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14463757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over51c286.37$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1319953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb94e…fe57backed Over46c284.92$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under63c284.84$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.011,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over50c279.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5819344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over58c265.55$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over53c262.59$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3210127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under29c247.6$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.815446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over63c232.81$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.671747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c227.6$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.251,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over23c225.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under56c221.57$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.492850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe23b…df94backed Over19c195.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc8…251abacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Under27c191.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.619641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over39c185.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.253740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c174.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.042,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…54d1backed Under51c153.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over56c147.6$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.884057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over76c143.65$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8423957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over48c140.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.832733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c132.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5620252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c128.16$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9913151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over50c120.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.333053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c118.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.941,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over59c106.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.892454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over50c100.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.292948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.519555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5395…687abacked Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.522456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c96.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2462744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Over55c89.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c86.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2417044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3642158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over74c67.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.953868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over48c66.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8389050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under51c65.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.335137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over32c61.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb71…b5a0backed Under40c60.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.37944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over49c56.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9222658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1422350.2%112 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe96f…70bbbacked Over62c55.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under52c49.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.777170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under33c49.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.139740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over77c48.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7228446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c48.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4820341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.