La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6ec656d65a741d7b13fa4257b59ab435aa6d9d011b28c925d8c8b1ed5a4b98b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 2,058$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.07 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,235$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.29 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 56c | 1,160$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.43 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,159$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.91 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 55c | 999.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 56c | 419$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 220.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 45c | 202$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 45c | 174.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 44c | 164$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…fe57backed No | 50c | 150.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…d58fbacked No | 44c | 149.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 145.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 141.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 116.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 46c | 110.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 46c | 110.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 46c | 110.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 46c | 110.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 46c | 110.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 46c | 100.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 56c | 99.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 42c | 91.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 56c | 90.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 56c | 87.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Yes | 56c | 81.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 76.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 25c | 66.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 56c | 57.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 55c | 53.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…8377backed Yes | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 46c | 42.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 55c | 40.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 44c | 33.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed No | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked No | 45c | 25.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 45c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…0e4cbacked Yes | 74c | 23.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f7fbacked Yes | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 77c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.