La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2c889b1a21ae66e1716be4adef258ce1508ccaa38f87e076a3829919ff8ced2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 75c | 2,548$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.58 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 1,975$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.06 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 41c | 909.91$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.6 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 799.66$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.08 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 60c | 654.01$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 629.4$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.32 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 23c | 622.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 486.94$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.91 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 56c | 435.05$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 31c | 402.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 58c | 402.03$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 28c | 365.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 33c | 353.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 63c | 317.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Under | 62c | 267.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 220.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 70c | 196.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…154cbacked Under | 56c | 126.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 119.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 26c | 107.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 74c | 106.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Over | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 62c | 94.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 59c | 64.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…17dabacked Under | 74c | 59.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 77c | 51.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 74c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x464d…d99bbacked Under | 75c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 45c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…7ae8backed Under | 74c | 15.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.