La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3aa5da1284ff0a7ea040cd1452c22ba4509015b8564f5160fd7509cdc4cb3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 75c | 6,671$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.78 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 4,240$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 3,674$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 75c | 1,986$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.44 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 863.46$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.7 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 325.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 282.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 273.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 25c | 139.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 136.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 24c | 101.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 99.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…17fcbacked Over | 76c | 85.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 26c | 39.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Over | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 75c | 30.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 75c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.