TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6688…fdce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$15.12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.82
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+189%+$71.67
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$33.11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.88
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$42.12
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+77.8%+$23.33
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28%+$5.6
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$307.99
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$9.17
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.1
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$205.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$55.99
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$37
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$66.41
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+149.7%+$95.32
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$13.88
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.25
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+239%+$176.25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.8
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.02
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.89
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.94
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$529.2
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.16
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 24?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 15?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$76.24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$49.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+303.2%+$75.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.29
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$5.03
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+36.3%+$7.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.